Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 40

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4
	1.59	3.95	5
	1.61	3.89	5.32	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.7
	1.59	3.84	5.18
	1.59	3.95	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	3.77 ↑ (3.67)	4.7 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
55.7%

Draw
24.6%

Aveley
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25.2%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hemel Hempstead Town's performance.

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hemel Hempstead Town - Aveley Predictions

Users Predictions: Hemel Hempstead Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Brosnan K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Kawa D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Hemel Hempstead is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aveley has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aveley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aveley have a series of home games.

In this match Hemel Hempstead is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hemel Hempstead to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
18.03.25	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:0 ✺
10.03.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hornchurch	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWWW
- Aveley
English National League South
15.03.25	Aveley - Eastbourne Borough	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Aveley - Worthing	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Boreham Wood - Aveley	1:0 ✺
03.03.25	Aveley - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Aveley - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1
English National League South
19.08.24	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
29.03.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Aveley	3:4
06.11.23	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1

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