Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 40

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	3.2	3.6	2.05
	3.86	3.82	1.9
	3.86	3.82	1.86
	3.69	3.7	1.86
	3.35	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.19)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	1.9 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
25.9%

Draw
25.2%

Havant & Waterlooville
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

25.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

26.7%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Dover Athletic - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dover won 2.

Dover has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Havant is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Havant could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Havant will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Dover won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Dover won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
12.03.24	Eastbourne Borough - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Weston-super-Mare - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Dover Athletic - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Chippenham Town - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
20.02.24	Dover Athletic - St Albans City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
13.03.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Bath City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	4:3
28.02.23	Dover Athletic - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0
20.08.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	4:2
English National League
26.01.19	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	0:0
English FA Trophy
08.01.19	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	0:1
15.12.18	Dover Athletic - Havant & Waterlooville	2:2
English National League
14.08.18	Dover Athletic - Havant & Waterlooville	4:3

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