Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday


	Aveley		Kingstonian

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.1
	1.64	3.95	4
	1.66	4.3	4.21
	1.63	4.05	4.3
	1.63	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.48)	4.01 ↓ (4.17)	4.16 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
55.4%

Draw
22.7%

Kingstonian
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

21.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

20.6%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aveley's form might have worsened.

Kingstonian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aveley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingstonian than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kingstonian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aveley - Kingstonian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs) and 16).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Kingstonian could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aveley have a series of guest games.

In this match Aveley is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.11.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Aveley	2:1 ✺
15.11.22	Folkestone Invicta - Aveley	2:5 ✺
12.11.22	Aveley - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Cray Wanderers - Aveley	2:1 ✺
01.11.22	Lewes - Aveley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLT
- Kingstonian
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.22	Bishops Stortford - Kingstonian	1:0 ✺
08.11.22	Haringey Borough - Kingstonian	5:2 ✺
05.11.22	Kingstonian - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
29.10.22	Canvey Island - Kingstonian	3:0 ✺
22.10.22	Kingstonian - Folkestone Invicta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLW

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