Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 31

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Lewes		Aveley

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.92
	3.28	3.99	1.88
	3.24	4.03	1.88	Watch
	3.1	3.5	1.91
	3.28	3.78	1.88
	3.25	3.8	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.39)	3.78 ↓ (4.09)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
28.2%

Draw
24%

Aveley
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

22.5%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

21.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Lewes - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, West D. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Charles R. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Saunders G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
48', 1 - 3, Peters O. ⚽,
50', 1 - 4, Haysom H. ⚽,
52', 1 - 5, Johnson M. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 6, Aromolaran T. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Lewes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aveley is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aveley could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Lewes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Lewes: 4.83% Aveley: 2.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15:11	4	19
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17:18	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.02.26	Lewes - Folkestone Invicta	0:5 ✺
31.01.26	Billericay Town - Lewes	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Lewes - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ramsgate - Lewes	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Canvey Island - Lewes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW
- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.02.26	Aveley - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Chichester City - Aveley	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Aveley - Cray Valley Paper Mills	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Aveley - Welling United	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Dartford - Aveley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Aveley - Lewes	3:0
18.02.23	Aveley - Lewes	2:0
01.11.22	Lewes - Aveley	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.21	Aveley - Lewes	2:4

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