Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 13

Date: 2 December 2024, Monday


	Aveley		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.7
	4.5	3.6	1.72	Watch
	4.52	3.63	1.72
	4.69	3.71	1.72	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.65
	4.61	3.7	1.68
	4.5	3.6	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (4.33)	3.61 ↑ (3.57)	1.7 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
20.4%

Draw
25.5%

Maidstone United
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

25.9%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25.9%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Aveley - Maidstone United Predictions

Users Predictions: Maidstone United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Rush M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 0 - 2, Fowler G. ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, Bentley M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Aveley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maidstone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Maidstone is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aveley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
29.11.24	Aveley - Welling United	1:1 ✺
25.11.24	Aveley - St Albans City	6:3 ✺
23.11.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Aveley	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
English National League South
09.11.24	Aveley - Boreham Wood	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWLWW
- Maidstone United
English National League South
30.11.24	Maidstone United - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
26.11.24	Maidstone United - Eastbourne Borough	3:1 ✺
19.11.24	Bath City - Maidstone United	3:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Horsham - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
English National League South
12.11.24	Torquay United - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
24.04.24	Maidstone United - Aveley	2:1
19.02.24	Aveley - Maidstone United	2:0
05.09.23	Maidstone United - Aveley	0:1

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