Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Aveley		Boreham Wood

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.43
	6.5	4.5	1.42
	6.41	4.58	1.45
	6.36	4.38	1.47
	6.03	4.3	1.49
	6	4.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.13 ↑ (5.18)	4.41 ↑ (3.9)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
15.1%

Draw
21%

Boreham Wood
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

23.7%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

21.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boreham Wood's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boreham Wood, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aveley - Boreham Wood Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Kawa D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Aveley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Boreham Wood is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aveley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Boreham Wood is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
05.11.24	Worthing - Aveley	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Aveley - Weymouth	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Aveley	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Enfield Town - Aveley	2:4 ✺
12.10.24	Aveley - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL
- Boreham Wood
English National League South
06.11.24	Boreham Wood - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Boreham Wood - Leyton Orient	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League South
26.10.24	Eastbourne Borough - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Boreham Wood - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Boreham Wood	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLTT

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