Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday


	Chelmsford City		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.6	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.62	4.01	5.08	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5
	1.58	4.05	4.93
	1.6	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)	3.84 ↓ (4.05)	4.85 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
57.3%

Draw
23.8%

Aveley
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

22.8%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

22.3%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Chelmsford City - Aveley Predictions

Users Predictions: Chelmsford City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Foyo O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Chelmsford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aveley has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Chelmsford is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chelmsford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Chelmsford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
26.12.24	Welling United - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Chelmsford City - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chelmsford City	3:2 ✺
02.12.24	Chelmsford City - Boreham Wood	2:3 ✺
30.11.24	Chelmsford City - Slough Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLLW
- Aveley
English National League South
26.12.24	Aveley - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Bath City - Aveley	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Tonbridge Angels - Aveley	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Barnet - Aveley	2:0 ✺
English National League South
02.12.24	Aveley - Maidstone United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.03.24	Chelmsford City - Aveley	2:0
13.11.23	Aveley - Chelmsford City	1:2
English FA Trophy
08.02.20	Aveley - Chelmsford City	3:1
Club Friendly
02.07.19	Aveley - Chelmsford City	1:2

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