Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 38

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max


	Avellino		Altamura

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.8	7.5
	1.28	5.4	9
	1.32	5	8.33
	1.3	5.04	10.25	Watch
	1.3	4.6	9.5
	1.24	5.05	10.6	Watch
	1.28	5.4	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.51)	5.04 ↑ (4.1)	9.17 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
71.6%

Draw
18.3%

Altamura
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.2%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

20.8%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.

Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altamura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altamura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Avellino - Altamura Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Avellino (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 50%). Altamura (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Marson L. (G) 2. Todisco G. 79. Manzi C. 26. Cionek T. 38. Frascatore P. 21. Armellino M. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 7. D'Ausilio M. 32. Lescano F. 9. Patierno C.	23. Pane P. (G) 31. De Santis E. 18. Silletti E. 98. Rizzo F. 19. Mane M. 44. Franco D. 16. Grande M. 33. Dibenedetto V. 99. D'Amico F. 7. Rolando M. 30. Palermo R.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 23. Cagnano A. 57. Campanile A. 29. Cancellotti T. 75. Dachille D. 56. Enrici P. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 20. Palumbo M. 91. Panico G. 5. Rigione M. 8. Rocca M. 10. Russo R. 19. Tribuzzi A. 35. Zuberek J.	78. Bumbu J. 13. Celi F. 61. Di Toma L. (G) 69. Lagonigro P. 11. Onofrietti V. 24. Ortisi P. 3. Patruno A. 9. Pignataro S. 32. Sabbatani A. 90. Simone G. 12. Spina A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Patierno C. ⚽,
26', Patierno C. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Lescano F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dibenedetto V. ↓, Bumbu J. ↑,
46', Pane P. ↓, Spina A. ↑,
57', Armellino M. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
57', Frascatore P. ↓, Cagnano A. ↑,
58', Rolando M. 🟨,
61', Franco D. ↓, Sabbatani A. ↑,
61', Palermo R. ↓, Pignataro S. ↑,
67', Todisco G. 🟨,
68', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
68', Sounas D. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
77', Palmiero L. ↓, Mutanda N. ↑,
86', Cagnano A. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Sabbatani A. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 13).

Avellino in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Altamura is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Avellino is certain favorite.

There will not play in Avellino: De Cristofaro A. (Injury)

There will not play in Altamura: Dipinto N. (Injury) Ganfornina F. (Injury) Leonetti V. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Avellino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.25	Sorrento - Avellino	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Avellino - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Catania - Avellino	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Avellino - Benevento	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Avellino - Potenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW
- Team Altamura
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.25	Altamura - Audace Cerignola	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Trapani - Altamura	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Altamura - Picerno	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	ACR Messina - Altamura	3:1 ✺
17.03.25	Potenza - Altamura	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
13.12.24	Altamura - Avellino	1:3

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