Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 37

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Sorrento		Avellino

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.43
	6.4	4.1	1.46
	6.35	4	1.49
	6.92	4.01	1.49	Watch
	7	3.9	1.44
	6.97	3.98	1.42	Watch
	6.4	4.1	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.58 ↑ (6.26)	4.01 ↑ (3.89)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
14%

Draw
22.9%

Avellino
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

23.7%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

23.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Sorrento - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sorrento will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Avellino will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Avellino (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Harrasser S. (G) 33. Vitiello A. 4. Biagetti C. 6. Fusco F. 14. Panico C. 23. Cangianiello S. 72. Palella A. 17. Riccardi P. 32. Colangiuli V. 99. Rossetti M. 19. Guarracino M.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 23. Cagnano A. 21. Armellino M. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 10. Russo R. 32. Lescano F. 9. Patierno C.
Substitutes
5. Carotenuto G. 3. Colombini L. 1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 76. Lops F. 28. Morleo U. 11. Musso A. 18. Polidori A. 27. Ruggiero M. 44. Russo D. 16. Scala S.	51. Arzillo V. 57. Campanile A. 26. Cionek T. 7. D'Ausilio M. 38. Frascatore P. 79. Manzi C. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 20. Palumbo M. 91. Panico G. 8. Rocca M. 2. Todisco G. 19. Tribuzzi A. 35. Zuberek J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Russo R. ⚽,
17', Guarracino M. 🟨,
31', Rigione M. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Lescano F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 2, Rossetti M. ⚽,
57', Colangiuli V. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
59', Russo R. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
71', Armellino M. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
72', Lescano F. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
79', Palella A. ↓, Lops F. ↑,
80', Riccardi P. ↓, Polidori A. ↑,
85', Palmiero L. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
85', Rigione M. ↓, Manzi C. ↑,
90', Cangianiello S. ↓, Ruggiero M. ↑,
90', Rossetti M. ↓, Russo D. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Sorrento is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Avellino is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Avellino have a series of home games.

In this match Avellino is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Sorrento: Blondett E. (Yellow Cards) Bolsius D. (Knee Injury) Guadagni G. (Red Card)

There will not play in Avellino: De Cristofaro A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sorrento: Carillo L. (Inactive)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sorrento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sorrento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
12.04.25	Giugliano - Sorrento	5:0 ✺
06.04.25	Sorrento - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Picerno - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Sorrento - Latina	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Casertana - Sorrento	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
13.04.25	Avellino - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Catania - Avellino	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Avellino - Benevento	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Avellino - Potenza	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Avellino - Trapani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
08.12.24	Avellino - Sorrento	1:0
29.01.24	Avellino - Sorrento	0:1
21.09.23	Sorrento - Avellino	0:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
17.03.13	Sorrento - Avellino	1:4

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