Match Info

Serie B - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Avellino		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.7	2.75	Watch
	2.87	2.87	2.65
	2.78	2.78	2.82	Watch
	3.04	2.88	2.85
	2.69	2.86	2.92	Watch
	2.8	2.88	2.63
	2.94	2.78	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.64)	2.82 ↓ (3.13)	2.78 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
32.9%

Draw
33.3%

Juve Stabia
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.7%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	83.3%	8.3%

Avellino - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Avellino (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Avellino (1.39) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Daffara G. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 44. Simic L. 56. Enrici P. 2. Missori F. 20. Palumbo M. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 39. Besaggio M. 3. Sala M. 94. Insigne R. 14. Biasci T.	23. Boer P. (G) 46. Diakite S. 33. Giorgini A. 14. Dalle Mura C. 24. Carissoni L. 98. Mosti N. (C) 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 77. Cacciamani A. 9. Gabrielloni A. 7. Burnete R.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 11. D'Andrea L. 63. Fontanarosa A. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 16. Kumi J. 27. Le Borgne A. 9. Patierno C. 19. Reale F. 10. Russo R. 53. Sassi J. (G) 18. Sgarbi L. 7. Tutino G.	17. Ciammaglichella A. 21. Kassama S. 37. Maistro F. 76. Mannini M. 70. Matheu P. 90. Okoro A. 10. Pierobon C. 2. Ricciardi M. 16. Signorini A. (G) 28. Torrasi E. 22. Vetro A. (G)
Coaches
Ballardini D.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Simic L. 🟨,
66', Biasci T. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
66', Insigne R. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
73', Correia O. 🟨,
75', Besaggio M. 🟨,
75', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
79', Palmiero L. 🟨,
82', Palmiero L. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
84', Carissoni L. ↓, Pierobon C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2.

Avellino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juve Stabia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Izzo A. (Muscle Injury) Sounas D. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Candellone L. (Injury) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Pierobon C. (Inactive) Varnier M. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	4	10
19	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Juve Stabia - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.17%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
22.02.26	Reggiana - Avellino	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Avellino - Pescara	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Avellino - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Monza - Avellino	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Avellino - Cesena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLLW
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
22.02.26	Juve Stabia - Modena	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Empoli - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Juve Stabia - Padova	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Reggiana - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
18.10.25	Juve Stabia - Avellino	2:0
Coppa Italia
04.08.24	Avellino - Juve Stabia	3:1
Italian Serie C Group C
13.01.24	Avellino - Juve Stabia	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.11.23	Avellino - Juve Stabia	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
11.09.23	Juve Stabia - Avellino	1:0
02.04.23	Juve Stabia - Avellino	2:1
30.11.22	Avellino - Juve Stabia	0:0

Avellino - Juve Stabia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide