Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 13

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)


	Crotone		Fidelis Andria

	1	X	2
	1.43	4	6
	1.49	3.95	5.3
	1.44	3.8	6.2
	1.46	4.09	6.38
	1.42	3.75	7
	1.43	4.2	6.4	Watch
	1.45	4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.38)	3.97 ↓ (4.1)	6.21 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
62.6%

Draw
22.8%

Fidelis Andria
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

22%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

21%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Fidelis Andria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crotone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Crotone - Fidelis Andria Predictions

Users Predictions: Crotone will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Crotone is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fidelis Andria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fidelis Andria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Crotone is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Crotone to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
06.11.22	Catanzaro - Crotone	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Crotone - Monopoli	3:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
30.10.22	Crotone - Picerno	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Turris - Crotone	2:4 ✺
18.10.22	Crotone - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie C Group C
06.11.22	Fidelis Andria - Monopoli	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Gelbison Cilento - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Foggia - Fidelis Andria	3:1 ✺
18.10.22	Fidelis Andria - ACR Messina	3:0 ✺
15.10.22	Pescara - Fidelis Andria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLWL

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