Match Info

ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE C - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 13 December 2023, Wednesday


	Avellino		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.08	3.1	3.77
	1.97	3.01	3.77
	1.75	3.2	3.9
	1.96	3.15	3.64
	2.03	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.92)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)	3.66 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
46.2%

Draw
29%

Lucchese
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

29.2%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.5%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Avellino - Lucchese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pane P. (G) 13. Mule E. 5. Benedetti S. 23. Dall'Oglio J. 4. Sannipoli D. 99. Casarini F. 33. Pezzella S. 17. Maisto F. 7. Falbo L. 11. Sgarbi L. 31. Marconi M.	1. Coletta J. (G) 26. Merletti T. 23. Benassai F. 27. Gucher R. 72. Visconti E. 17. Djibril M. 8. Tumbarello G. 77. Guadagni G. 45. Yeboah P. 9. Romero N. 11. Sueva G.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 14. Cancellotti T. 77. D'Amico F. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 51. Fusco S. 35. Gori G. 18. Mazzocco D. 28. Palamara F. 12. Pizzella A. (G) 16. Rigione M. 59. Susko D.	12. Berti F. (G) 30. Cangianiello S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 38. Leone M. 99. Magnaghi S. 3. Perotta N. 14. Quirini E. 25. Quochi L. 7. Rizzo Pinna A. 19. Russo F. 6. Tiritiello A. 4. Toma R.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lucchese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lucchese have a series of home games.

Avellino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
10.12.23	Benevento - Avellino	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Avellino - Turris	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.11.23	Avellino - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.11.23	Picerno - Avellino	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Avellino - Giugliano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWLL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
10.12.23	Lucchese - Fermana	0:0 ✺
06.12.23	Lucchese - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Arezzo - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.11.23	Lucchese - Juventus U23	3:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.23	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTWL

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