Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 15

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251
World	FIFA+


	Benevento		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.13	3.15	3.51
	2.14	3.16	3.56	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.08	3.2	3.27	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.84)	3.19 ↓ (3.48)	3.32 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
43.6%

Draw
28.8%

Avellino
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benevento's form might have worsened.

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Benevento - Avellino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nunziante A. (G) 27. Oukhadda S. 96. Capellini R. 20. Berra F. (C) 13. Tosca A. 38. Talia A. 4. Prisco A. 18. Simonetti P. 9. Manconi J. 73. Lamesta D. 10. Lanini E.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 38. Frascatore P. 4. De Cristofaro A. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 7. D'Ausilio M. 35. Gori G. 9. Patierno C.
Substitutes
17. Acampora G. 21. Agazzi D. 28. Borello G. 35. Carfora L. 32. Ferrara A. 19. Francescotti N. 68. Lucatelli I. (G) 12. Manfredini N. (G) 6. Meccariello B. 3. Sena F. 7. Starita E. 5. Veltri A. 25. Viscardi A. 24. Viviani M.	21. Armellino M. 51. Arzillo V. 33. Benedetti S. 57. Campanile A. 26. Cionek T. 94. Liotti D. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 11. Redan D. 8. Rocca M. 10. Russo R. 25. Toscano M. 19. Tribuzzi A. 91. Vano M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', Frascatore P. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Lanini E. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Frascatore P. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, D'Ausilio M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', De Cristofaro A. 🟨,
54', Gori G. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
55', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,
57', Simonetti P. ↓, Acampora G. ↑,
62', Lanini E. ↓, Borello G. ↑,
64', Tosca A. 🟨,
66', Palmiero L. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
78', Tosca A. ↓, Viscardi A. ↑,
78', Prisco A. ↓, Viviani M. ↑,
85', Patierno C. ↓, Liotti D. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Viviani M. ⚽,
90', Oukhadda S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Benevento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Benevento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
09.11.24	Picerno - Benevento	1:0 ✺
04.11.24	Benevento - Turris	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	Crotone - Benevento	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Benevento - Casertana	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Sorrento - Benevento	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWW
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
10.11.24	Potenza - Avellino	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Avellino - Taranto	0:1 ✺
30.10.24	Trapani - Avellino	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Avellino - ACR Messina	6:0 ✺
20.10.24	Juventus U23 - Avellino	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.04.24	Avellino - Benevento	1:0
10.12.23	Benevento - Avellino	0:1
Italian Serie B
01.05.17	Benevento - Avellino	2:1
10.12.16	Avellino - Benevento	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
03.02.13	Avellino - Benevento	0:2

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