Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 8

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Nuova Monterosi		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.88
	3.6	3.4	1.95
	4.18	3.19	1.98
	3.7	3.3	1.85
	3.76	3.35	1.86
	3.65	3.35	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.65)	3.31 ↑ (3.02)	1.91 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Monterosi
24.5%

Draw
27.6%

Audace Cerignola
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.1%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

30.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Monterosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuova Monterosi's form might have worsened.

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Audace Cerignola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Monterosi than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Monterosi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	15.4%	84.6%

Nuova Monterosi - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Audace Cerignola: 65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mastrantonio D. (G) 16. Tartaglia A. 13. Cinaglia D. 23. Sini S. 21. Fantacci T. 18. Parlati S. 10. Frediani M. 25. Altobelli D. 3. Di Renzo A. 9. Costantino R. 99. Silipo A.	1. Krapikas T. (G) 3. Russo L. 55. Martinelli L. 15. Ligi A. 21. Tentardini A. 20. Tascone M. 5. Capomaggio G. 24. Ruggiero Z. 10. D'Ausilio M. 11. Leonetti V. 17. D'Andrea F.
Substitutes
20. Bittante L. 28. Conti B. 8. Di Francesco D. 7. Di Paolantonio A. 11. Ekuban J. 77. Ferreri G. 15. Giordani P. 29. Palazzino F. 17. Perrotta F. 19. Piroli D. 12. Rigon A. (G) 30. Tolomello F. 91. Vano M.	4. Allegrini G. 8. Bianco R. 80. Carnevale A. 7. Coccia G. 19. De Luca U. 12. Fares G. (G) 77. Ghisolfi M. 9. Malcore G. 91. Neglia S. 14. Prati B. 34. Rizzo A. 44. Sosa F. 22. Trezza S. (G) 27. Vitale M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Monterosi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Audace Cerignola is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monterosi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Monterosi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Monterosi FC
Italian Serie C Group C
08.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Casertana	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Perugia	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
30.09.23	Potenza - Nuova Monterosi	1:0 ✺
25.09.23	Nuova Monterosi - Taranto	2:3 ✺
21.09.23	Città di Brindisi - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
08.10.23	Audace Cerignola - Benevento	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Turris - Audace Cerignola	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
02.10.23	Taranto - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
25.09.23	Audace Cerignola - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
21.09.23	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
23.12.22	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Monterosi	3:0
04.09.22	Nuova Monterosi - Audace Cerignola	3:0

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