Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 28

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Casertana		Avellino

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.3	1.72
	4.76	3.57	1.72
	4.98	3.53	1.72	Watch
	5	3.2	1.7
	5.18	3.42	1.63	Watch
	4.3	3.3	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↓ (5.37)	3.39 ↓ (3.49)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
19.2%

Draw
27%

Avellino
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

26%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

25.4%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Casertana - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Casertana will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Avellino will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zanellati A. (G) 4. Kontek I. 13. Bacchetti L. 44. Gatti R. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 8. Damian F. 19. Collodel R. 18. Deli F. 7. Carretta M. (C) 9. Bunino C. 91. Vano M.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. (C) 56. Enrici P. 23. Cagnano A. 4. De Cristofaro A. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 91. Panico G. 9. Patierno C. 32. Lescano F.
Substitutes
93. Bakayoko A. 30. Bianchi S. 77. Capasso C. 23. Egharevba D. 3. Fabbri A. 37. Falasca M. 21. Frison F. 6. Heinz J. 32. Paglino S. 12. Pareiko D. (G) 27. Proia F. 22. Vilardi A. (G)	21. Armellino M. 26. Cionek T. 7. D'Ausilio M. 79. Manzi C. 77. Marson L. (G) 20. Palumbo M. 8. Rocca M. 10. Russo R. 2. Todisco G. 35. Zuberek J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Llano Massa M. T. ↓, Heinz J. ↑,
23', Damian F. 🟨,
36', Deli F. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Vano M. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Cagnano A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Panico G. 🟨,
48', 1 - 2, Enrici P. ⚽,
57', Palmiero L. 🟨,
59', Panico G. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
60', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
61', Carretta M. ↓, Egharevba D. ↑,
61', Deli F. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
74', Kontek I. ↓, Falasca M. ↑,
74', Damian F. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
75', Egharevba D. 🟨,
80', Patierno C. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
80', Sounas D. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
90+4', Collodel R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casertana won 0.

Recent matches Casertana is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avellino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Casertana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6:21 (average 0.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Casertana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
16.02.25	Catania - Casertana	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
03.02.25	Taranto - Casertana	0:6 ✺
25.01.25	Casertana - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
20.01.25	Turris - Casertana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWTW
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
16.02.25	Avellino - Crotone	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Foggia - Avellino	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Avellino - Turris	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Latina - Avellino	0:3 ✺
18.01.25	Avellino - Cavese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
13.10.24	Avellino - Casertana	5:0
19.02.24	Avellino - Casertana	2:1
16.10.23	Casertana - Avellino	0:2
Club Friendly
08.08.22	Avellino - Casertana	1:1
Italian Serie C Group C
21.02.21	Casertana - Avellino	0:2
25.10.20	Avellino - Casertana	3:1
17.11.19	Casertana - Avellino	2:0

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