Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Avellino		Ternana

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.05
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.05	3.1	2.15
	3.3	2.9	2.13
	3.51	3.13	2.19
	3.25	3.1	2.2
	3.28	3.3	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.28)	3.12 ↓ (3.26)	2.13 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
27.7%

Draw
29.3%

Ternana
42.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.8%

27.9%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

21.4%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ternana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avellino - Ternana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B).

Recent matches Avellino is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ternana is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Avellino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ternana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Avellino won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
09.12.20	Avellino - Bisceglie	4:2 ✺
06.12.20	Virtus Francavilla - Avellino	1:0 ✺
02.12.20	Potenza - Avellino	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Avellino - Catania	1:2 ✺
11.11.20	Paganese - Avellino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.20	Ternana - Bisceglie	3:0 ✺
28.11.20	Vibonese - Ternana	2:3 ✺
22.11.20	Ternana - Teramo	3:0 ✺
15.11.20	Bari - Ternana	1:3 ✺
11.11.20	Ternana - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
01.07.20	Ternana - Avellino	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
08.03.20	Avellino - Ternana	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.19	Avellino - Ternana	0:1
Italian Serie C Group C
23.10.19	Ternana - Avellino	0:1
Italian Serie B
18.05.18	Ternana - Avellino	1:2
28.12.17	Avellino - Ternana	2:1
26.03.17	Ternana - Avellino	4:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
01.11.26	Avellino - Pisa	✺
- Ternana Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Prato - Ternana	✺

Avellino - Ternana