Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Play Out - Final

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport


	Bari		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.6
	1.87	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.33	5.12
	1.85	3.33	5.12
	1.91	3.25	4
	1.88	3.34	4.55	Watch
	1.81	3.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.9)	3.32 ↓ (3.41)	4.65 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
51.1%

Draw
28.6%

Ternana
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Bari - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 6. Di Cesare V. 23. Vicari F. 31. Ricci G. 17. Maiello R. 8. Benali A. 10. Bellomo N. 44. Acampora G. 20. Sibilli G. 9. Nasti M.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 15. Casasola T. 6. Dalle Mura C. 44. Lucchesi L. 27. Favasuli C. 71. Luperini G. 72. Amatucci L. 16. Faticanti G. 79. Carboni F. 10. Pereiro G. 28. Di Stefano F.
Substitutes
11. Achik I. 49. Aramu M. 22. Brenno (G) 32. Colangiuli V. 93. Dorval M. 91. Kallon Y. 14. Lulic K. 4. Maita M. 5. Matino E. 77. Morachioli G. 47. Puscas G. 21. Zuzek Z.	2. Bonugli M. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 21. Ferrara C. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 94. N'Guessan A. C. 9. Raimondo A. 4. Sorensen F. 18. Vitali T. (G) 24. Viviani F. 3. Zoia R.
Coaches
Giampaolo F.	Breda R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Casasola T. (Pen),
24', Favasuli C. 🟨,
30', Pereiro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Acampora G. ↓, Maita M. ↑,
55', Bellomo N. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Nasti M. ⚽,
60', Nasti M. 🟨,
60', Faticanti G. ↓, de Boer K. ↑,
66', Bellomo N. ↓, Achik I. ↑,
75', Sibilli G. ↓, Puscas G. ↑,
75', Nasti M. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
75', Carboni F. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Pereiro G. ⚽, de Boer K. (A),
86', Lucchesi L. ↓, N'Guessan A. C. ↑,
86', Pereiro G. ↓, Dionisi F. ↑,
86', Di Stefano F. ↓, Zoia R. ↑,
90+5', Di Cesare V. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Bari is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Bari won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
10.05.24	Bari - Brescia	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Cittadella - Bari	1:1 ✺
01.05.24	Bari - Parma	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Nuova Cosenza - Bari	4:1 ✺
20.04.24	Bari - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTLT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
10.05.24	FeralpiSalò - Ternana	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	Ternana - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
01.05.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ternana	4:3 ✺
27.04.24	Ternana - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Brescia - Ternana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.01.24	Bari - Ternana	3:1
03.09.23	Ternana - Bari	0:0
19.03.23	Ternana - Bari	1:0
28.10.22	Bari - Ternana	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
13.03.21	Ternana - Bari	2:1
15.11.20	Bari - Ternana	1:3
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
13.07.20	Bari - Ternana	1:1

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