Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 16

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251


	Avellino		Catania

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.91	3.25	4
	1.92	3.11	4.22
	1.94	3.13	4.32	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.83	3.2	4.18	Watch
	1.91	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.85)	3.16 ↓ (3.37)	4.06 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
48.4%

Draw
29%

Catania
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

26.6%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Avellino - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 38. Frascatore P. 4. De Cristofaro A. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 7. D'Ausilio M. 9. Patierno C. 11. Redan D.	1. Bethers K. (G) 19. Raimo A. 15. Di Gennaro M. 27. Castellini A. (C) 20. Carpani G. 14. Verna L. 10. Jimenez K. 33. Anastasio A. 21. Stoppa M. 11. D'Andrea F. 9. Inglese R.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 33. Benedetti S. 57. Campanile A. 26. Cionek T. 35. Gori G. 94. Liotti D. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 8. Rocca M. 10. Russo R. 25. Toscano M. 91. Vano M.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 36. Allegra O. 12. Butano D. (G) 37. Forti C. 17. Luperini G. 16. Quaini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Carpani G. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, D'Andrea F. ⚽,
45+1', Palmiero L. 🟨,
45+1', D'Andrea F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Redan D. ⚽,
52', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Stoppa M. ⚽,
63', De Cristofaro A. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
63', Frascatore P. ↓, Liotti D. ↑,
67', D'Andrea F. ↓, Luperini G. ↑,
74', Bethers K. 🟨,
77', Sounas D. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
77', Patierno C. ↓, Campanile A. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Redan D. ⚽,
83', Jimenez K. 🟨,
90+3', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Gori G. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avellino won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Avellino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Avellino won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:22 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:12 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
17.11.24	Benevento - Avellino	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Potenza - Avellino	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Avellino - Taranto	0:1 ✺
30.10.24	Trapani - Avellino	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Avellino - ACR Messina	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTLWW
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
15.11.24	Catania - Trapani	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Crotone - Catania	3:2 ✺
03.11.24	Catania - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
31.10.24	Turris - Catania	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Catania - Latina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.05.24	Avellino - Catania	2:1
21.05.24	Catania - Avellino	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
06.03.24	Avellino - Catania	5:2
29.10.23	Catania - Avellino	0:2
23.03.22	Avellino - Catania	0:1
20.10.21	Catania - Avellino	2:2
21.03.21	Catania - Avellino	3:1

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