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Current Win Probability
Potenza 25.2%
Draw 27.9%
Avellino 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.4%
25.6%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.1%
25.1%
56.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Potenza's performance.
Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avellino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Potenza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avellino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Potenza - Avellino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Alastra F. (G) 35. Novella M. 6. Riggio C. 26. Verrengia B. 66. Burgio R. 4. Ferro L. 5. Felippe L. 27. Erradi B. 21. Schimmenti E. 9. Caturano S. 7. D'Auria G.
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 26. Cionek T. 56. Enrici P. 94. Liotti D. 8. Rocca M. 25. Toscano M. 4. De Cristofaro A. 24. Sounas D. 10. Russo R. 9. Patierno C.
Substitutes
8. Castorani M. 24. Cucchietti T. (G) 10. Firenze M. 33. Galiano P. F. (G) 2. Galletta V. 77. Ghisolfi M. 18. Mazzocchi P. 14. Milesi L. 94. Rosafio M. 11. Rossetti M. 19. Sciacca G. 15. Selleri G. 20. Vilardi M.
21. Armellino M. 51. Arzillo V. 33. Benedetti S. 57. Campanile A. 35. Gori G. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 11. Redan D. 5. Rigione M. 19. Tribuzzi A. 91. Vano M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Enrici P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Ferro L. ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
74', De Cristofaro A. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,
76', Schimmenti E. ↓, Vilardi M. ↑,
77', Caturano S. ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
81', Verrengia B. ↓, Milesi L. ↑,
82', Toscano M. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
83', Russo R. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
86', Novella M. 🟨,
90', Patierno C. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
90', Liotti D. ↓, Rigione M. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Potenza won 0.
Recent matches Potenza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Avellino is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Avellino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Avellino will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Potenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:20 (average 1:2.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Potenza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1.3:2.5).