Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Avia Świdnik		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.75	1.85
	3.91	3.63	1.78
	4.16	3.78	1.75	Watch
	3.64	3.64	1.82	Watch
	4.2	4.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (4.2)	3.84 ↓ (4.4)	1.74 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
23.5%

Draw
23.9%

Ruch Chorzów
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

20.2%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

19.5%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ruch Chorzów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ruch Chorzów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Avia Świdnik - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sobieszczyk A. (G) 5. Dobrzynski R. 3. Kursa R. (C) 4. Rozmus K. 15. Assuncao D. 17. Kaminski S. 24. Uliczny P. 9. Remenyuk A. 8. Zuber M. 19. Malecki P. 27. Pisarek D.	1. Szymanski J. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. (C) 17. Lukic A. 24. Komor A. 38. Karasinski S. 27. Szwoch M. 25. Ventura D. 14. Nono 21. Szwedzik P. 9. Bala T. 30. Sobeczko J.
Substitutes
31. Bialka M. (G) 2. Jarzynka M. 7. Kalinowski W. 99. Maj A. 18. Marek W. 6. Orzechowski K. 33. Pigiel M. 97. Popiolek A. 10. Zawadzki D.	82. Bielecki J. (G) 77. Ceglarz P. 7. Kolar M. 29. Lachendro F. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 18. Nagamatsu S. 4. Preisler D. 5. Rosol M. 20. Szymanski S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Szwedzik P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Kaminski S. ⚽,
62', Sobeczko J. ↓, Ceglarz P. ↑,
62', Szwedzik P. ↓, Lachendro F. ↑,
67', Kaminski S. ↓, Popiolek A. ↑,
67', Assuncao D. ↓, Kalinowski W. ↑,
68', Ventura D. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Pisarek D. ⚽,
75', Bala T. ↓, Kolar M. ↑,
75', Nono ↓, Nagamatsu S. ↑,
77', Zuber M. ↓, Pigiel M. ↑,
78', Malecki P. 🟨,
80', Ventura D. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
81', Rozmus K. ↓, Orzechowski K. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Malecki P. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Avia Świdnik have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ruch Chorzów is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Avia Świdnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ruch Chorzów has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ruch Chorzów is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Avia Świdnik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Including home match between the teams, Avia Świdnik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Avia Świdnik - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Cracovia 2 - Avia Świdnik	4:5 ✺
31.08.25	Avia Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Wisła II Kraków - Avia Świdnik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
22.09.25	Ruch Chorzów - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ruch Chorzów - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Rzeszów	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
29.10.24	Avia Świdnik - Ruch Chorzów	1:3

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