Match Info

Division 1 - Round 7

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Ruch Chorzów		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.2	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.22	3.54	3.15
	2.58	3.01	2.87	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.23	3.22	3.09
	2	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2)	3.23 ↑ (3)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
41.2%

Draw
28.5%

Polonia Bytom
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

26.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Polonia Bytom (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Bielecki J. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 24. Komor A. 4. Preisler D. 27. Szwoch M. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 22. Zurawski M. 18. Nagamatsu S. 9. Bala T. 21. Szwedzik P.	1. Holewinski A. (G) 30. Krzyzak O. 13. Azatsky O. 77. Szymanski J. 27. Apolinarski J. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. 10. Michalski K. 19. Sarmiento J. 9. Wojtyra K. 11. Andrzejczak K.
Substitutes
77. Ceglarz P. 99. Dyduch K. 38. Karasinski S. 17. Lukic A. 5. Rosol M. 30. Sobeczko J. 1. Szymanski J. (G) 6. Szyminski P. 25. Ventura D.	23. Arak J. 4. Bakala M. 22. Calavera J. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 35. Mazur K. (G) 16. Stefanski P. 14. Szymusik G. 29. Terlecki K. 7. Zielinski L.
Coaches
Fornalik W.	Tomczyk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Zurawski M. 🟨,
18', Szymanski J. 🟨,
36', Preisler D. 🟨,
41', Szwoch M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Wojtyra K. ↓, Arak J. ↑,
64', Bala T. ↓, Ceglarz P. ↑,
70', Sarmiento J. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
70', Labojko M. ↓, Bakala M. ↑,
71', Michalski K. ↓, Zielinski L. ↑,
72', Preisler D. ↓, Karasinski S. ↑,
72', Zurawski M. ↓, Ventura D. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Ceglarz P. ⚽, Nagamatsu S. (A),
83', Apolinarski J. ↓, Stefanski P. ↑,
87', Szymanski S. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Szymanski J. ⚽,
90+4', Karasinski S. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ruch Chorzów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ruch Chorzów might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ruch Chorzów won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
20.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Rzeszów	4:0 ✺
15.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	0:0 ✺
08.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLLW
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
20.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Bytom	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	7:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
01.08.25	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Bytom	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.01.25	Polonia Bytom - Ruch Chorzów	1:2
17.01.24	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Bytom	1:1
14.01.23	Polonia Bytom - Ruch Chorzów	1:3
Polish Division 3 - Group III
24.04.21	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Bytom	2:1
13.09.20	Polonia Bytom - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
26.10.19	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Bytom	3:1
Club Friendly
02.07.13	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Bytom	1:0

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