Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Czarni Połaniec		Korona Kielce 2

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.55	2.22
	2.52	3.54	2.35
	3.36	3.92	1.85	Watch
	2.51	3.89	2.35	Watch
	3.85	3.9	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.75)	3.76 ↑ (3.63)	2.1 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Połaniec
31.2%

Draw
24.7%

Korona Kielce 2
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

25.1%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

25.6%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Połaniec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Czarni Połaniec's performance.

Korona Kielce 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Korona Kielce 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Czarni Połaniec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Korona Kielce 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Czarni Połaniec - Korona Kielce 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, ⚽,
27', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 🟥,
90', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).

Czarni Połaniec is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Korona 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Czarni Połaniec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Korona 2 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Czarni Połaniec won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Czarni Połaniec won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.25	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Czarni Połaniec - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Czarni Połaniec	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Czarni Połaniec - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Stal Kraśnik - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWWT
- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.11.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Avia Świdnik	0:4 ✺
24.10.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Korona Kielce 2	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Korona Kielce 2	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Wisła II Kraków	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.03.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Czarni Połaniec	3:0
24.08.24	Czarni Połaniec - Korona Kielce 2	0:0
17.06.23	Korona Kielce 2 - Czarni Połaniec	3:4
19.11.22	Czarni Połaniec - Korona Kielce 2	3:2
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Czarni Połaniec - Korona Kielce 2	2:2

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