Match Info

Emperors Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)


	Avispa Fukuoka		Yokohama FC

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	2.90
	2.20	2.95	3.00
	2.12	3.05	3.15
	2.37	3.24	3.29
	2.28	3.12	3.29	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.20
	2.38	3.28	3.06
	2.25	3.00	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.27)	3.11 ↑ (3.01)	3.12 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
40.8%

Draw
29.7%

Yokohama FC
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Yokohama FC will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Fujita K. (G) 47. Hashimoto Y. 5. Kamijima T. 25. Kitajima Y. 11. Miki T. 38. Miya D. 14. Nago S. 16. Oka T. 21. Romeu O. 18. Sato S. 33. Yamawaki K.	21. Ichikawa A. (G) 90. Adailton 24. Hata J. 15. Hayashi K. 49. Komazawa N. 13. Kubota R. 28. Kumakura K. 63. Sota T. 35. Uda K. 7. Yamada K. 26. Yokoyama A.
Substitutes
17. Akino H. 32. Brown A. 58. Fujikawa T. 49. Maeda I. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 8. Okuno K. 52. Takemoto S. 37. Tashiro M. 9. Werik Popo	46. Fukuoka Y. 5. Hosoi K. 42. Ishii R. (G) 10. Joao Paulo 4. Ogura H. 55. Ojima T. 45. Saito K. 18. Shimamura T. 48. Shimbo K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Sota T. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Komazawa N. ⚽,
39', Romeu O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Romeu O. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
59', Nago S. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
59', Oka T. ↓, Tashiro M. ↑,
75', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.

Avispa Fukuoka is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Yokohama FC shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Yokohama FC may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Yokohama FC has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Avispa Fukuoka has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:19 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Avispa Fukuoka against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:8 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Yokohama FC - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 29.96%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLTL
- Yokohama FC
Japan J2 League
04.10.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Yokohama FC	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Gifu - Yokohama FC	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Kataller Toyama - Yokohama FC	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Yokohama FC - Imabari	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Iwaki - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	1:0
10.05.25	Yokohama FC - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0
12.08.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	2:0
01.04.23	Yokohama FC - Avispa Fukuoka	1:1
07.11.21	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	1:1
26.05.21	Yokohama FC - Avispa Fukuoka	1:1
Japan J2 League
04.08.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	0:2

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