Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.57	Watch
	2.80	3.00	2.60
	2.78	2.98	2.58	Watch
	2.91	3.1	2.79
	2.89	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3	2.75
	2.66	3.14	2.79	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.83)	3.06 ↓ (3.23)	2.66 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
33.7%

Draw
30.8%

Avispa Fukuoka
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28.2%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Shimizu S Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Umeda T. (C) 24. Sugai H. 3. Takahashi Y. 15. Honda Y. 25. Brunetti M. 47. Shimamoto Y. 17. Yumiba M. 13. Germain R. 81. Kozuka K. 8. Inoue K. 9. Oh Se-Hun	24. Obata Y. (C) 23. Fukazawa D. 37. Tashiro M. 38. Miya D. 47. Hashimoto Y. 34. Shiihashi K. 11. Miki T. 29. Maejima Y. 13. Morooka S. 6. Shigemi M. 9. Werik Popo
Substitutes
7. Capixaba 50. Fujii T. 19. Kinoshita K. 21. Matsuzaki K. 1. Oki Y. (G) 14. Park Seung-Wook 70. Takagi S. 6. Won Du-Jae 28. Yoshida Y.	17. Akino H. 32. Brown A. 5. Kamijima T. 25. Kitajima Y. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 14. Nago S. 21. Romeu O. 15. Tsujioka Y. 33. Yamawaki K.
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Tsukahara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Werik Popo ↓, Nago S. ↑,
26', Miya D. 🟨,
30', Fukazawa D. ↓, Kamijima T. ↑,
34', Inoue K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Inoue K. ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
67', Kozuka K. ↓, Won Du-Jae ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Shimamoto Y. ⚽, Germain R. (A),
77', Shigemi M. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
77', Shiihashi K. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
77', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Yamawaki K. ↑,
90', Brunetti M. ↓, Park Seung-Wook ↑,
90+3', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3.

Shimizu is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Avispa Fukuoka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Shimizu: Sumiyoshi J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Fukushima K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Avispa Fukuoka: 0.66% Shimizu S-Pulse: 0.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3
16	Shimizu S-Pulse	4	1	0	3	1:3	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Avispa Fukuoka - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.86%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
05.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Verspah Oita	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
10.05.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 penalties
18.03.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2 penalties
23.08.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:0
20.04.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka	3:1
17.09.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:2
18.06.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka	3:1
02.10.21	Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2

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