Match Info

J1 League - Round 5

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Avispa Fukuoka		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.00	2.70	Watch
	2.75	3.20	2.50
	2.63	3.00	2.65	Watch
	2.85	3.30	2.69
	2.39	3.24	3.08	Watch
	2.85	3.20	2.55
	2.92	3.03	2.64	Watch
	2.75	3.10	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.43)	3.13 ↑ (3)	2.68 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
34.6%

Draw
30.2%

Urawa Red Diamonds
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	38.5%	15.4%

Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Fujita K. (G) 16. Oka T. 37. Tashiro M. 15. Tsujioka Y. 47. Hashimoto Y. 34. Shiihashi K. (C) 11. Miki T. 29. Maejima Y. 13. Morooka S. 6. Shigemi M. 7. Usui S.	1. Nishikawa S. (G) 3. Danilo Boza 2. Miyamoto Y. 5. Nemoto K. 88. Naganuma Y. (C) 25. Yasui K. 12. Seko T. 13. Watanabe R. 7. Kaneko T. 17. Komori H. 10. Matheus Savio
Substitutes
22. Fujimoto K. 23. Fukazawa D. 55. Maeda K. 38. Miya D. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 14. Nago S. 8. Okuno K. 52. Takemoto S. 9. Werik Popo	23. Fukui K. (G) 18. Hayashi K. 31. Inagaki A. 32. Katayama E. 42. Minamino H. 8. Mizunuma K. 45. Onaiwu A. 33. Sasa S. 37. Ueki H.
Coaches
Tsukahara S.	Cho K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
10', Danilo Boza 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Usui S. ⚽, Morooka S. (A),
34', 2 - 1, Morooka S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Watanabe R. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
48', Miki T. 🟨,
58', Naganuma Y. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
58', Shigemi M. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
64', Miki T. ↓, Maeda K. ↑,
64', Morooka S. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
65', Tsujioka Y. 🟨,
67', Yasui K. ↓, Ueki H. ↑,
67', Komori H. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
80', Maejima Y. ↓, Fukazawa D. ↑,
80', Usui S. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Hayashi K. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Onaiwu A. ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
88', Seko T. ↓, Sasa S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.

In recent matches, Avispa Fukuoka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Urawa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Fukushima K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Urawa Reds: 1.92% Avispa Fukuoka: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3
17	Urawa Reds	4	1	0	3	8:13	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Avispa Fukuoka - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.77%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Urawa Red Diamonds - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.64%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
29.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Verspah Oita	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
29.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:4 ✺
07.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Omiya Ardija	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
27.07.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
06.04.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0
30.11.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0
30.03.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1
25.11.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka	2:3
Japan J League Cup
04.11.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1
Japan J1 League
20.05.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0

Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide