Match Info

J1 League - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Avispa Fukuoka		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.20	3.60
	2.02	3.15	3.65	Watch
	2.1	3.42	3.9
	2.05	3.36	3.76	Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.85
	2.15	3.17	3.68	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.25)	3.26 ↑ (3)	3.72 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
45.7%

Draw
28.9%

Mito HollyHock
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Avispa Fukuoka (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Fujita K. (G) 16. Oka T. 37. Tashiro M. 15. Tsujioka Y. 47. Hashimoto Y. 55. Maeda K. 11. Miki T. (C) 23. Fukazawa D. 13. Morooka S. 6. Shigemi M. 9. Werik Popo	34. Nishikawa K. (G) 25. Mase T. 15. Kimoto Y. 4. Kawazura A. 7. Omori S. 11. Torikai Y. 19. Semba T. 20. Funabashi Y. 22. Taniguchi K. 10. Watanabe A. (C) 18. Uchino K.
Substitutes
17. Akino H. 32. Brown A. 22. Fujimoto K. 25. Kitajima Y. 29. Maejima Y. 38. Miya D. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 14. Nago S. 34. Shiihashi K.	50. Ieizumi R. 17. Itakura K. 8. Kato C. 9. Nemoto R. 3. Osaki K. 33. Patryck 27. Slowik J. (G) 16. Tamura Y. 39. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Tsukahara S.	Kimori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Watanabe A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Maeda K. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Morooka S. ⚽, Fukazawa D. (A),
54', Funabashi Y. ↓, Osaki K. ↑,
57', Morooka S. 🟨,
62', Werik Popo ↓, Nago S. ↑,
63', Maeda K. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
63', Oka T. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
69', Uchino K. ↓, Patryck ↑,
69', Watanabe A. ↓, Kato C. ↑,
69', Taniguchi K. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
70', Torikai Y. 🟨,
77', Tsujioka Y. ↓, Miya D. ↑,
82', Kimoto Y. 🟨,
85', Torikai Y. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Kimoto Y. ⚽, Omori S. (A),
89', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Avispa Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Fukushima K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Fofana M. (Inactive) Hayakawa U. (Knee Injury) Iwasaki H. (Inactive) Kamiyama M. (Finger Injury) Shimatani K. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Mito: 0.78% Avispa Fukuoka: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Mito	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3

Last Results with these Odds

Mito HollyHock - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.66%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
02.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Verspah Oita	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League
02.09.26	Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Mito HollyHock	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
04.11.20	Mito HollyHock - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
19.08.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	0:1
27.07.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	1:1
09.06.19	Mito HollyHock - Avispa Fukuoka	4:2
11.08.18	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	2:0
27.05.18	Mito HollyHock - Avispa Fukuoka	0:2
27.08.17	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	0:0

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