Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Rene Fenouillere (Avranches)


	Avranches		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.4	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.78	3.24	2.14
	3.72	3.24	2.12
	3.25	3.2	2.05
	3.51	3.33	2.02	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.37)	3.22 ↓ (3.26)	2.08 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avranches
26.9%

Draw
28.7%

Châteauroux
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.8%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avranches has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Châteauroux aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Avranches - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Avranches will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Châteauroux will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Châteauroux: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Quilichini G. (G) 17. Bansais D. 20. Kerouedan A. 2. Launay B. 4. Lemeray M. 10. Magnon P. 14. Pierre L. 25. Pi J. 5. Rabuel M. 24. Tertereau A. 18. Tshipamba I.	16. Cognard B. (G) 4. Diarra T. 9. Durbant G. 33. Gnakpa J. 20. Matondo G. 13. Mbengue A. 7. Mendy F. 10. Mille A. 23. Njike T. 19. Nomel L. 6. Pires V. (C)
Substitutes
23. Daguin V. 11. Jean D. 16. Mensah C. (G) 7. Nsimba S. 21. Remars M.	30. Ba M. (G) 29. Bengueddoudj Z. 24. Colella H. 27. Guyot B. 25. Mbia S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Njike T. ↓, Bengueddoudj Z. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Kerouedan A. ⚽, Pierre L. (A),
58', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
62', Nomel L. 🟨,
63', Tshipamba I. 🟨,
67', Magnon P. ↓, Jean D. ↑,
72', Kerouedan A. 🟨,
74', Pierre L. ↓, Daguin V. ↑,
75', Bengueddoudj Z. ↓, Colella H. ↑,
79', Tshipamba I. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
83', Diarra T. ↓, Mbia S. ↑,
83', Matondo G. ↓, Guyot B. ↑,
87', Gnakpa J. 🟨,
90', Mbengue A. 🟥,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avranches won 2.

Avranches is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Châteauroux is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Châteauroux will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Avranches won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Avranches won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
12.04.24	Avranches - Épinal	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Le Mans - Avranches	3:4 ✺
30.03.24	Avranches - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Avranches - Villefranche	1:3 ✺
22.03.24	Martigues - Avranches	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLLL
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
12.04.24	Châteauroux - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Rouen FC - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Châteauroux - Martigues	1:0 ✺
22.03.24	Sochaux - Châteauroux	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Châteauroux - GOAL FC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
24.11.23	Châteauroux - Avranches	1:2
27.01.23	Châteauroux - Avranches	1:0
19.08.22	Avranches - Châteauroux	1:2
14.01.22	Châteauroux - Avranches	3:0
13.08.21	Avranches - Châteauroux	3:1
24.02.17	Châteauroux - Avranches	2:1
16.09.16	Avranches - Châteauroux	0:1

Avranches - Châteauroux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide