Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 23

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Red Star		Martigues

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	5	Watch
	1.72	3.45	4.3
	1.62	3.99	5.67
	1.6	3.98	5.29	Watch
	1.73	3.7	4.6
	1.68	4.05	5.19	Watch
	1.72	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	3.79 ↑ (3.76)	4.91 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Red Star
56.2%

Draw
24.7%

Martigues
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.7%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

23.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	11.8%	23.5%

Red Star - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Martigues will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 24. Lemonnier P. 28. Kouagba L. 13. Doucoure F. 27. Danger B. 97. Renel S. 98. Hachem R. 29. Benali H. 10. Ifnaoui M. 21. Badji A.	20. Etile Y. (G) 39. Saintini N. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 23. Siby M. 26. Belloumou S. 6. Kembolo F. 29. Mendy O. 14. Moussiti-Oko B. 27. Ipiele A.
Substitutes
11. Cisse K. 26. Dembi F. J. 7. Durand D. 5. Escartin J. 9. Fall A. 19. Mbock H. 50. Rabouille V. (G)	41. Bamba M. 21. Hadjem Y. 40. Marillat Y. (G) 9. Montiel R. 24. Morante L. 12. Robin M.
Coaches
Poirier G.	Malek H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Badji A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Benali H. ⚽, Badji A. (A),
57', Falette S. 🟨,
68', Kembolo F. 🟨,
69', Siby M. ↓, Robin M. ↑,
74', Benali H. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
81', Renel S. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
82', Hachem R. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
82', Badji A. ↓, Fall A. ↑,
83', Ipiele A. ↓, Shamal S. ↑,
86', Moussiti-Oko B. ↓, Montiel R. ↑,
87', Saintini N. ↓, Hadjem Y. ↑,
90', Danger B. 🟨,
90+2', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Dembi F. J. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Red Star is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Martigues is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Red Star is a favorite.

There will not play in Red Star: Beunardeau Q. (Knee Injury) Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Mendy B. (Injury)

There will not play in Martigues: Mendy O. (Injury) Tlili K. (Red Card)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.6:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
07.02.25	Grenoble - Red Star	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Red Star - Lorient	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Paris FC - Red Star	4:1 ✺
17.01.25	Red Star - Pau	1:3 ✺
10.01.25	Laval - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLT
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
07.02.25	Martigues - Troyes	1:2 ✺
31.01.25	Dunkerque - Martigues	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Martigues - Amiens	3:0 ✺
17.01.25	Grenoble - Martigues	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Martigues - Clermont	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.11.24	Martigues - Red Star	0:1
French Ligue 3
09.02.24	Red Star - Martigues	2:0
04.09.23	Martigues - Red Star	0:1
06.03.23	Martigues - Red Star	0:2
23.09.22	Red Star - Martigues	2:2

Upcoming Matches