Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Cumana (Ayacucho)

Referee: Lozano S. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Ayacucho		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.6	Watch
	6	3.7	1.47
	5.9	3.75	1.6	Watch
	6.19	3.7	1.6
	5.27	3.68	1.6	Watch
	6.5	3.8	1.5
	6.23	3.87	1.61	Watch
	5.9	3.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↑ (5)	3.78 ↓ (3.8)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
15.8%

Draw
24.7%

Universitario de Deportes
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.8%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

24%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ayacucho - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ayacucho will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayacucho (votes: 2 - 50%). Uni de Deportes (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Ayacucho (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayacucho (votes: 3 - 60%). Uni de Deportes (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Valencia J. (G) 29. Falconi J. 3. Ganoza M. 25. Ataupillco J. 27. Barrios K. 12. Caro D. 8. Ramirez D. 18. Orue D. 20. Correa Flores C. A. 77. Lucumi J. 24. Perez Azambuya E. M.	1. Britos S. (G) 29. Corzo A. (C) 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 16. Perez M. 24. Polo A. 27. Carabali J. 17. Concha J. 18. Urena R. 20. Valera A. 11. Rivera J.
Substitutes
26. Aquino H. 1. Izaguirre P. (G) 15. Ratto P. 10. Rios M. 11. Ruidiaz Y. 5. Tamariz A. 16. Vilchez J. 17. Villamarin J. 4. Yovera A.	8. Costa G. 15. Diego Churin 55. Dulanto G. 36. Flores S. 33. Inga C. 23. Murrugarra J. 14. Reyna P. 25. Vargas M. (G) 7. Velez J.
Coaches
Islas L.	Fossati J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Perez M. 🟨,
45+2', Correa Flores C. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Ramirez D. ↓, Tamariz A. ↑,
55', Carabali J. 🟥,
61', Perez M. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
61', Rivera J. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
70', Concha J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
76', Orue D. 🟨,
81', Polo A. ↓, Reyna P. ↑,
81', Valera A. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
83', Lucumi J. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
90+2', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, Corzo A. ⚽, Urena R. (A),
90+10', Barrios K. ↓, Ratto P. ↑,
90+10', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Villamarin J. ↑,
90+13', Ganoza M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 0.

Ayacucho has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Uni de Deportes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Uni de Deportes is the team to beat.

There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ayacucho: Bilbao J. (Injury) Ferreyra K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 32:38. (average 1.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 2.2:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 1
25.05.25	ADT Tarma - Ayacucho	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Ayacucho - Sporting Cristal	1:4 ✺
03.05.25	Juan Pablo II College - Ayacucho	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Ayacucho - Alianza Atlético	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Cusco - Ayacucho	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WLTLL
- Universitario de Deportes
Copa Libertadores
27.05.25	River Plate - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
22.05.25	Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Juan Pablo II College - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.05.25	Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
11.05.25	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
27.08.22	Universitario de Deportes - Ayacucho	2:1
10.04.22	Ayacucho - Universitario de Deportes	1:2
14.08.21	Ayacucho - Universitario de Deportes	1:1
15.05.21	Ayacucho - Universitario de Deportes	3:3
18.09.20	Universitario de Deportes - Ayacucho	1:0
09.11.19	Universitario de Deportes - Ayacucho	3:2
25.05.19	Ayacucho - Universitario de Deportes	2:0

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