Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Cumana (Ayacucho)

Referee: Santos C. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Ayacucho		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.75	Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	2	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.99	3.26	3.92	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.03	3.4	3.95	Watch
	2	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.5)	3.31 ↓ (3.37)	3.7 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
46.5%

Draw
28.3%

Cajamarca
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayacucho's performance.

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cajamarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Ayacucho - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ayacucho will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ayacucho: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ayacucho (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Ayacucho (1.71) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Cajamarca (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ayacucho will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayacucho (votes: 6 - 75%). Cajamarca (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Valencia J. (G) 29. Falconi J. 2. Navarro G. 3. Ganoza M. 77. Lucumi J. 19. Uribe C. (C) 4. Yovera A. 18. Orue D. 5. Tamariz A. 7. Ferreira M. 24. Perez Azambuya E. M.	21. Campos D. (G) 17. Garro L. 27. Serra P. 3. Rugel L. 25. Rosell Delgado J. A. 14. Alvarez L. (C) 20. Vasquez A. 13. Oncoy F. 8. Mejia C. 10. Ramirez E. 11. Quintero J.
Substitutes
25. Ataupillco J. 27. Barrios K. 20. Correa Flores C. A. 1. Izaguirre P. (G) 80. Medina F. 8. Ramirez D. 10. Rios M. 11. Ruidiaz Y. 17. Villamarin J.	5. Aguirre J. 22. Balanta G. 28. De la Cruz L. 12. Heredia M. (G) 24. Romero F. 9. Verdun J. 16. Villamarin R.
Coaches
Ospina E.	Bossi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Quintero J. ⚽, Ramirez E. (A),
45+2', Valencia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Orue D. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
46', Garro L. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑,
50', Tamariz A. 🟨,
55', Yovera A. ↓, Medina F. ↑,
64', Vasquez A. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
64', Uribe C. ↓, Villamarin J. ↑,
65', Ferreira M. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
69', Falconi J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
70', Mejia C. 🟨,
70', Villamarin R. 🟨,
71', Alvarez L. 🟨,
84', Oncoy F. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
84', Ramirez E. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
86', Quintero J. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
90+6', Campos D. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 3.

Ayacucho is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cajamarca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cajamarca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ayacucho will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Ayacucho: Villamarin J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cajamarca: Palacios B. (Red Card)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:27 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Ayacucho won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 1
04.04.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Ayacucho	1:1 ✺
27.03.25	Ayacucho - FBC Melgar	2:3 ✺
07.03.25	Alianza Lima - Ayacucho	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Ayacucho - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Sport Boys - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLTL
- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
06.04.25	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca	4:2 ✺
08.03.25	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Cusco - Cajamarca	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Cajamarca - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.08.22	Cajamarca - Ayacucho	2:1
01.04.22	Ayacucho - Cajamarca	3:2
25.09.21	Cajamarca - Ayacucho	0:2
30.04.21	Cajamarca - Ayacucho	1:3
09.10.20	Ayacucho - Cajamarca	1:1
28.10.19	Cajamarca - Ayacucho	2:0
10.05.19	Ayacucho - Cajamarca	0:2

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