Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Cajamarca		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.50	1.90
	3.30	3.50	1.88
	3.45	3.55	2.05
	3.59	3.61	1.94
	3.53	3.63	1.93	Watch
	3.50	3.50	1.87
	3.51	3.60	1.95
	3.45	3.50	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.97)	3.55 ↓ (3.66)	1.93 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
26.3%

Draw
26%

Sporting Cristal
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.4%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25.6%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th and 3rd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1.

Cajamarca has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Sporting Cristal is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Sporting Cristal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Sporting Cristal is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Sporting Cristal in today's match, at odds of 1.93.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cajamarca has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:35 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cajamarca against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:15 goals (averaging 1.1:1.4 per game).

Outrights of Peruvian Liga 1 for now

Sporting Cristal: 18.82%

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	20:10	10	19
18	Cajamarca	10	0	2	8	11:24	-13	2

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Cristal - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.27%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
20.09.26	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Cajamarca - Juan Pablo II College	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes	2:4 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
25.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
01.10.26	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
19.09.26	Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Moquegua - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Sporting Cristal - Los Chankas	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca	3:2
23.08.25	Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca	2:2
06.04.25	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	4:1
25.08.24	Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca	4:0
31.03.24	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	1:2
25.09.23	Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca	1:1
07.05.23	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	1:1

Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide