The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cajamarca 26.6%
Draw 25.9%
Sporting Cristal 47.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.4%
25.4%
51.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.6%
25.6%
50.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Cajamarca (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Campos A. (G) 35. Paredes G. 3. Ganoza M. 2. Duarte B. 6. Cavagna F. 15. Cantt J. 16. Figuera A. 22. Camacho D. 10. Lliuya M. 7. Nunez J. 9. de Jesus M. (C)
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 6. Alvarez Wallace A. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 16. Iberico L. 23. Castro M. 22. Hoyos M.
Substitutes
88. Arce L. 11. Arroyo A. 29. Barrios I. (G) 21. Bettocchi R. (G) 13. Caro D. 18. Galvez S. 17. Garro L. 19. Munoz A.
96. Abram L. 11. Avila I. 29. Barcos H. 33. Bautista C. (G) 21. Cabellos C. 77. Cuesta J. 27. Gabriel 18. Gonzalez J. 25. Tavara M.
Coaches
Molins C.
Mosquera R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Iberico L. ⚽, Yotun Y. (A),
20', Paredes G. 🟨,
31', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Figuera A. 🟨,
56', Ganoza M. 🟨,
57', Nunez J. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
65', Cantt J. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
69', Castro M. ↓, Abram L. ↑,
69', Iberico L. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
72', Hoyos M. 🟨,
74', Yotun Y. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
74', Hoyos M. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
77', Gonzalez S. ↓, Cuesta J. ↑,
82', Paredes G. 🟨,
84', de Jesus M. ↓, Galvez S. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1.
Cajamarca is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Sporting Cristal is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Sporting Cristal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sporting Cristal holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C.
(Knee Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Sporting Cristal: Wisdom I.
(Elbow Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Sporting Cristal in today's match, at odds of 1.91.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cajamarca has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:35 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cajamarca against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:15 goals (averaging 1.1:1.4 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Sporting Cristal
13
8
1
4
26:15
11
25
18
Cajamarca
14
1
2
11
15:29
-14
5
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting Cristal - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.27%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Campos A. (G) 
Duarte B. 
Figuera A. 
Camacho D. 
de Jesus M. (C) 
Sosa L. 
Cristiano 
Arroyo A. 
