Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Héroes de San Ramón (Cajamarca)

Referee: Menendez A. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cajamarca		Alianza Atlético

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.1	3.75
	2.08	2.9	4	Watch
	2.05	3.1	4.17
	1.99	3.11	4.17	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	1.97	3	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.99)	3.04 ↓ (3.19)	4.03 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
46.6%

Draw
30.4%

Alianza Atlético
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

29.7%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cajamarca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético Predictions

Users Predictions: Cajamarca will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campos A. (C) 17. Garro L. 27. Serra P. 2. Duarte B. 5. Huerto J. 8. Dioses D. 10. Lliuya M. 88. Arce L. 22. Camacho D. 9. de Jesus M. 19. Munoz A.	95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Perleche E. 2. Suarez R. 4. Villegas J. C. 24. Gordillo A. 20. Perez J. 15. Lupu H. (C) 10. Diaz G. 8. Flores F. 7. Coronel F. 17. Penilla C.
Substitutes
11. Arroyo A. 29. Barrios I. (G) 15. Cantt J. 6. Cavagna F. 16. Figuera A. 3. Ganoza M. 7. Nunez J. 35. Paredes G. 14. Rasmussen M.	22. del Castillo J. 37. Delgado J. 16. Fernandez S. 25. Guzman W. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 6. Lujan J. 19. Mendieta J. 9. Robaldo V.
Coaches
Bustos C.	Urciuoli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Camacho D. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Arce L. ↓, Figuera A. ↑,
57', Figuera A. 🟨,
62', Dioses D. 🟨,
63', Perez J. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
65', Camacho D. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
69', Flores F. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
69', Penilla C. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
75', de Jesus M. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
75', Munoz A. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
75', Huerto J. 🟨,
83', Gordillo A. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
83', Lupu H. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
85', Suarez R. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Coronel F. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cajamarca is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cajamarca: Caro D. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Munoz A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Cajamarca	10	0	2	8	11:24	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
14.03.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Cajamarca - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	ADT Tarma - Cajamarca	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	Cajamarca - Cusco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLTW
- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
15.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Moquegua	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
27.02.26	Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cienciano - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
11.08.25	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	2:0
08.03.25	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	0:0
01.08.24	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	1:1
16.02.24	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	2:0
14.07.23	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	1:1
12.02.23	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	2:0
18.07.22	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	2:1

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