The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cajamarca 32.5%
Draw 27.2%
Deportivo Garcilaso 40.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.3%
28%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
27.1%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 2.
Cajamarca has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Deportivo Garcilaso has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Deportivo Garcilaso is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Cajamarca has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 0.7:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cajamarca against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1:0.3 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Deportivo Garcilaso
14
8
1
5
26:15
11
25
18
Cajamarca
14
1
2
11
15:29
-14
5
Outrights of Peruvian Liga 1 for now
Deportivo Garcilaso: 2.35%
Last Results with these Odds
Cajamarca - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.27%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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