Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Somerset Park (Ayr)


	Ayr United		Kilmarnock

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.95
	3.28	3.68	2
	3.26	3.68	1.96	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.91
	3.53	3.6	2.04	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (4.42)	3.61 ↓ (4)	1.97 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayr United
27.3%

Draw
25.7%

Kilmarnock
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.6%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayr United's performance.

Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kilmarnock might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Ayr United - Kilmarnock Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Stone H. (G) 7. Dowds A. (C) 17. Henderson J. 22. McKenzie M. 33. McMann S. 9. Oakley G. 3. Reading P. 23. Rus M. 14. Stanger G. 20. Syla R. 32. Watret D.	11. Armstrong D. 6. Deas R. 22. Donnelly L. 17. Findlay S. 10. Kennedy M. 8. Lyons B. 5. Mayo L. 20. McCrorie R. 9. Vassell K. (C) 24. Wales B. 4. Wright J.
Substitutes
30. Bryden F. . Hastie J. 2. McAllister N. 6. Murdoch A. 4. Musonda F. 24. Tomlinson S. . Trialist . Walker E.	. Anderson B. . Brannan B. . Brown A. 18. Cameron I. . Leslie K. 39. Mackay-Steven G. 7. McKenzie R. 15. Murray F. . O'Hara K. (G) 31. Polworth L. . Traynor A. 23. Watkins M. 12. Watson D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Stanger G. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Rus M. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Lyons B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wales B. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Dowds A. (Pen),
65', Lyons B. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
65', Vassell K. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
65', Kennedy M. ↓, Murray F. ↑,
65', Armstrong D. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
65', Donnelly L. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
72', 3 - 2, Deas R. ⚽,
82', Henderson J. ↓, Tomlinson S. ↑,
82', Watret D. ↓, McAllister N. ↑,
82', McMann S. ↓, Musonda F. ↑,
87', Oakley G. ↓, Bryden F. ↑,
87', Rus M. ↓, Hastie J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayr won 2.

Ayr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kilmarnock is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ayr won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ayr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayr United
Club Friendly
05.07.24	Ayr United - Celtic	1:1 ✺
27.06.24	East Stirlingshire - Ayr United	2:4 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
03.05.24	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	3:3 ✺
27.04.24	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Dundee United - Ayr United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWTTL
- Kilmarnock FC
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Cerro Porteño - Kilmarnock	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
18.05.24	Dundee - Kilmarnock	1:1 ✺
15.05.24	Kilmarnock - Celtic	0:5 ✺
11.05.24	St. Mirren - Kilmarnock	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	Glasgow Rangers - Kilmarnock	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
11.03.22	Ayr United - Kilmarnock	1:3
09.02.22	Kilmarnock - Ayr United	1:2
26.10.21	Ayr United - Kilmarnock	0:1
02.08.21	Kilmarnock - Ayr United	2:0
Scottish League Cup
14.07.17	Ayr United - Kilmarnock	1:0
26.08.14	Kilmarnock - Ayr United	1:0
28.01.12	Ayr United - Kilmarnock	N/A

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