Match Info

J3 League - Round 29

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Ashitaka Park Stadium (Numazu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Azul Claro Numazu		Gifu

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	1.95
	3.57	3.53	1.99
	3.74	3.26	2.00	Watch
	3.81	3.46	1.93	Watch
	3.15	3.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.12)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azul Claro Numazu
26.3%

Draw
27.4%

Gifu
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

27.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

27.1%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Gifu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Azul Claro Numazu - Gifu Predictions

Users Predictions: Gifu will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gueguim G. (G) 5. Shinozaki T. 34. Miyazaki K. 7. Numata K. 3. Lucas Sena 14. Tokunaga K. 77. Martinez E. 10. Sato N. 24. Yanagimachi K. 11. Mori Y. 23. Shirawachi K.	1. Mogi S. (G) 55. Toyama R. 20. Kato S. 3. Nozawa R. 14. Oiji Y. 18. Yamaya Y. 28. Hakozaki T. 10. Kita R. 39. Izumisawa J. 29. Kawamoto R. 16. Nishitani R.
Substitutes
17. Fujii K. 21. Maeda H. (G) 16. Mihara S. 2. Miyawaki S. 15. Nakamura Y. 19. Saito M. 18. Sugai T. 8. Suzuki K. 9. Suzuki W. I.	9. Dudu 97. Fukuta A. 40. Hirase D. 5. Ishida R. 19. Matsumoto A. 25. Moussiti-Oko B. 31. Serantes J. (G) 15. Yamada N. 27. Yokoyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hakozaki T. ↓, Fukuta A. ↑,
46', Kawamoto R. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Moussiti-Oko B. ⚽,
58', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
65', Yamaya Y. ↓, Yokoyama T. ↑,
68', Lucas Sena ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
68', Tokunaga K. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Nishitani R. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Shirawachi K. ⚽,
79', Sato N. ↓, Miyawaki S. ↑,
79', Martinez E. ↓, Suzuki W. I. ↑,
90', Izumisawa J. ↓, Hirase D. ↑,
90+1', Oiji Y. ↓, Ishida R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 2.

Azul Claro Numazu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gifu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gifu could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Azul Claro Numazu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Gifu - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
20.09.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Tochigi City	4:5 ✺
23.08.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL
- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
20.09.25	Gifu - Nagano Parceiro	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sagamihara - Gifu	0:5 ✺
06.09.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Gifu	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Gifu - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Gifu - Fukushima United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.05.25	Gifu - Azul Claro Numazu	3:2
20.07.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Gifu	2:1
08.06.24	Gifu - Azul Claro Numazu	1:5
08.10.23	Gifu - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1
11.06.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Gifu	0:0
23.10.22	Gifu - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1
27.03.22	Azul Claro Numazu - Gifu	2:0

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