Match Info

J3 League - Round 27

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagamihara		Gifu

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.78	3.15	2.3
	2.56	3.21	2.66
	3.17	3.09	2.30	Watch
	2.97	3.3	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (1.79)	3.17 ↓ (3.5)	2.43 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
33%

Draw
29%

Gifu
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.2%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sagamihara's form might have worsened.

Gifu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gifu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sagamihara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gifu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sagamihara - Gifu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sagamihara (votes: 1 - 50%). Gifu (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gifu (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sagamihara will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sagamihara (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gifu (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Baumann N. (G) 2. Kato D. 5. Tashiro M. 54. Watahiki K. 26. Nishikubo S. 4. Shimakawa T. 6. Tokunaga Y. 7. Kawano R. 17. Takeuchi T. 10. Nakayama R. 9. Rafael Furtado	1. Mogi S. (G) 55. Toyama R. 20. Kato S. 3. Nozawa R. 22. Mun In-Ju 18. Yamaya Y. 28. Hakozaki T. 10. Kita R. 39. Izumisawa J. 25. Moussiti-Oko B. 16. Nishitani R.
Substitutes
97. Fujinuma T. 22. Fukui K. 31. Inose K. (G) 11. Muto Y. 24. Sugimoto R. 14. Takagi A. 16. Takano R. 41. Takusari Y. 20. Yamauchi R.	9. Dudu 97. Fukuta A. 40. Hirase D. 5. Ishida R. 29. Kawamoto R. 19. Matsumoto A. 14. Oiji Y. 31. Serantes J. (G) 27. Yokoyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Izumisawa J. ⚽,
42', Yamaya Y. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Izumisawa J. ⚽, Hakozaki T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Moussiti-Oko B. ↓, Kawamoto R. ↑,
46', Takeuchi T. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
58', 0 - 3, Kawamoto R. ⚽,
60', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
60', Nishikubo S. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
68', Yamaya Y. ↓, Yokoyama T. ↑,
74', 0 - 4, Nishitani R. ⚽, Yokoyama T. (A),
78', 0 - 5, Kita R. ⚽,
78', Kawano R. ↓, Fujinuma T. ↑,
78', Takagi A. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
86', Mun In-Ju ↓, Ishida R. ↑,
86', Nishitani R. ↓, Dudu ↑,
90+3', Izumisawa J. ↓, Matsumoto A. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
06.09.25	Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Osaka - Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
27.08.25	Sagamihara - Vissel Kobe	1:2 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
23.08.25	Sagamihara - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Kagoshima United - Sagamihara	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWLWL
- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
06.09.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Gifu	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Gifu - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Gifu - Fukushima United	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Gifu	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gifu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.07.25	Gifu - Sagamihara	1:1
14.09.24	Gifu - Sagamihara	1:2
06.04.24	Sagamihara - Gifu	1:1
16.09.23	Sagamihara - Gifu	1:1
18.06.23	Gifu - Sagamihara	2:1
30.10.22	Sagamihara - Gifu	0:0
15.05.22	Gifu - Sagamihara	2:0

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