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Current Win Probability
Azul Claro Numazu 40.1%
Draw 29%
Giravanz Kitakyushu 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
30.7%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
29.3%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Azul Claro Numazu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Azul Claro Numazu's performance.
Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Azul Claro Numazu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giravanz Kitakyushu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Azul Claro Numazu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Giravanz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Maeda H. (G) 3. Lucas Sena 4. Rissi G. 28. Inoue K. 16. Mihara S. 14. Tokunaga K. 18. Sugai T. 8. Suzuki K. 11. Mori Y. 23. Shirawachi K. 9. Suzuki W. I.
27. Tanaka Y. (G) 4. Hasegawa K. 13. Higashi R. 44. Tsujioka Y. 22. Yamawaki K. 32. Takayanagi F. 34. Takayoshi S. 6. Hoshi K. 66. Takahashi D. 25. Tsubogo R. 10. Nagai R.
Substitutes
20. Kawamata K. 2. Miyawaki S. 35. Mukai H. 15. Nakamura Y. 10. Sato N. 1. Watanabe K. (G) 71. Watanabe R. 29. Weverton 24. Yanagimachi K.
14. Izawa H. 99. Kabayama R. 11. Kiyama K. 29. Koh S. 17. Okano R. 41. Sugimoto M. (G) 50. Sugiyama K. 19. Yoshihara F. 24. Yoshinaga M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 0 - 1, Takahashi D. ⚽,
56', 0 - 2, Yamawaki K. ⚽,
61', Sugai T. ↓, Yanagimachi K. ↑,
61', Suzuki W. I. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Shirawachi K. ⚽,
64', Tsubogo R. ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
64', Nagai R. ↓, Koh S. ↑,
71', Yamawaki K. 🟨,
72', 1 - 3, Koh S. ⚽, Yamawaki K. (A),
75', Takahashi D. ↓, Kiyama K. ↑,
76', Shirawachi K. ↓, Mukai H. ↑,
76', Tokunaga K. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
85', Lucas Sena ↓, Weverton ↑,
89', Hasegawa K. 🟨,
90+1', Weverton (Pen),
90+2', Yamawaki K. ↓, Sugiyama K. ↑,
90+2', Takayanagi F. ↓, Okano R. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 3.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Azul Claro Numazu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Azul Claro Numazu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Azul Claro Numazu - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.67%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Giravanz Kitakyushu - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.67%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
Watch
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Maeda H. (G) 
Lucas Sena 
Koh S. 
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