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Current Win Probability
Azul Claro Numazu 20.9%
Draw 26.3%
Kagoshima United 52.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.4%
29.2%
43.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
28.6%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Azul Claro Numazu's form might have worsened.
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Azul Claro Numazu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kagoshima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Azul Claro Numazu - Kagoshima United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Watanabe K. (G) 3. Lucas Sena 15. Nakamura Y. 28. Inoue K. 16. Mihara S. 14. Tokunaga K. 71. Watanabe R. 13. Watai K. 24. Yanagimachi K. 35. Mukai H. 23. Shirawachi K.
1. Fujishima E. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 21. Soma J. 7. Chibu K. 3. Sugii H. 73. Tanaka T. 27. Yamaguchi T. 5. Gaudencio 20. Endo M. 18. Kawamura K. 13. Kondo Y.
Substitutes
20. Kawamata K. 21. Maeda H. (G) 2. Miyawaki S. 11. Mori Y. 7. Numata K. 4. Rissi G. 10. Sato N. 6. Toyama H. 29. Weverton
11. Fukuda M. 15. Ihori K. 23. Kojima R. 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 10. Take S. 48. Tanida S. 16. Yamauchi K. (G) 36. Yonezawa R. 14. Yoshio K.
Coaches
Nakayama M.
Soma N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Watai K. 🟨,
59', Tanaka T. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
59', Gaudencio ↓, Ihori K. ↑,
61', Shirawachi K. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
70', Kondo Y. ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
70', Endo M. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
71', Mukai H. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
71', Watanabe R. ↓, Sato N. ↑,
76', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Take S. ↑,
85', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Weverton ↑,
85', Watai K. ↓, Numata K. ↑,
90+2', Lucas Sena 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Kagoshima United is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Azul Claro Numazu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
China
Japan
Watch
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Watanabe K. (G) 
Lucas Sena 
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