Match Info

J3 League - Round 21

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gainare Tottori		Azul Claro Numazu

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.3
	2.12	2.92	3.35	Watch
	2.23	3.15	3.56
	2.23	2.93	3.58	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.21	3.29	3.19	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	3.4 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
42.6%

Draw
30.3%

Azul Claro Numazu
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29.9%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Gainare Tottori - Azul Claro Numazu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gainare Tottori will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Azul Claro Numazu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gainare Tottori (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Koma R. (G) 55. Oshima H. 4. Nikaido S. 6. Nukui H. 16. Maruyama S. 11. Tojo A. 42. Kaneura M. 21. Kawamura T. 19. Miki N. 7. Ozawa H. 9. Tanada R.	1. Watanabe K. (G) 3. Lucas Sena 15. Nakamura Y. 28. Inoue K. 16. Mihara S. 14. Tokunaga K. 71. Watanabe R. 13. Watai K. 24. Yanagimachi K. 35. Mukai H. 9. Suzuki W. I.
Substitutes
14. Fukoin M. 18. Handa K. 32. Ikawa T. 17. Matsumoto T. 3. Nagano S. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 13. Shimizu Y. 8. Tanaka K. 10. Togashi Y.	20. Kawamata K. 21. Maeda H. (G) 2. Miyawaki S. 11. Mori Y. 4. Rissi G. 10. Sato N. 23. Shirawachi K. 18. Sugai T. 8. Suzuki K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Suzuki W. I. ⚽, Lucas Sena (A),
16', 1 - 1, Maruyama S. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Tanada R. ⚽, Kaneura M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Watai K. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
54', 3 - 1, Miki N. ⚽, Ozawa H. (A),
56', 4 - 1, Kawamura T. ⚽, Miki N. (A),
59', Suzuki W. I. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
59', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
59', Mukai H. ↓, Shirawachi K. ↑,
67', 4 - 2, Kawamata K. ⚽, Shirawachi K. (A),
70', Tojo A. ↓, Nagano S. ↑,
70', Tanada R. ↓, Togashi Y. ↑,
78', Kawamura T. ↓, Fukoin M. ↑,
78', Miki N. ↓, Handa K. ↑,
82', Tokunaga K. ↓, Sato N. ↑,
87', Maruyama S. ↓, Ikawa T. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 3, Mori Y. ⚽, Nakamura Y. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 2.

In recent matches, Gainare Tottori has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Azul Claro Numazu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gainare Tottori is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainare Tottori won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Gainare Tottori - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Azul Claro Numazu - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.95%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
12.07.25	Ryūkyū - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Gainare Tottori - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Gainare Tottori	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Gainare Tottori - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Nara Club - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWL
- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
12.07.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Kagoshima United	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Kochi United	4:0 ✺
28.06.25	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
21.06.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
16.02.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Gainare Tottori	3:0
07.09.24	Gainare Tottori - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1
02.03.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Gainare Tottori	4:0
24.09.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Gainare Tottori	1:2
14.05.23	Gainare Tottori - Azul Claro Numazu	2:2
10.09.22	Gainare Tottori - Azul Claro Numazu	3:0
02.07.22	Azul Claro Numazu - Gainare Tottori	3:0

Upcoming Matches