Match Info

J3 League - Round 18

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagamihara		Azul Claro Numazu

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.3
				Watch
	1.72	3.52	5.01
				Watch
	2	3	3.5
	1.72	3.95	4.27	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.16)	3.33 ↑ (3.13)	3.9 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
48.4%

Draw
27.8%

Azul Claro Numazu
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.1%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sagamihara's performance.

Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sagamihara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Baumann N. (G) 3. Pytlik K. 33. Tokida M. 2. Kato D. 4. Shimakawa T. 97. Fujinuma T. 8. Osako R. 17. Takeuchi T. 16. Takano R. 9. Rafael Furtado 11. Muto Y.	1. Watanabe K. (G) 16. Mihara S. 15. Nakamura Y. 28. Inoue K. 2. Miyawaki S. 71. Watanabe R. 24. Yanagimachi K. 14. Tokunaga K. 10. Sato N. 23. Shirawachi K. 17. Fujii K.
Substitutes
15. Maeda T. 1. Miura M. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 27. Nishiyama T. 24. Sugimoto R. 14. Takagi A. 80. Takai K. 5. Tashiro M. 6. Tokunaga Y.	3. Lucas Sena 21. Maeda H. (G) 35. Mukai H. 37. Nakano H. 7. Numata K. 4. Rissi G. 18. Sugai T. 6. Toyama H. 13. Watai K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Rafael Furtado ⚽,
16', Nakamura Y. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Rafael Furtado ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Rafael Furtado ⚽, Fujinuma T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sato N. ↓, Watai K. ↑,
46', Fujii K. ↓, Mukai H. ↑,
46', Miyawaki S. ↓, Lucas Sena ↑,
52', 3 - 1, Mukai H. ⚽,
60', Rafael Furtado ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
60', Muto Y. ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
68', Tokunaga K. ↓, Toyama H. ↑,
72', Takano R. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
72', Osako R. ↓, Nishiyama T. ↑,
79', Shirawachi K. ↓, Nakano H. ↑,
87', Fujinuma T. ↓, Tashiro M. ↑,
90+3', Baumann N. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Sagamihara has had a series of away games.

Sagamihara might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.8:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
21.06.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Sagamihara - Kochi United	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Júbilo Iwata - Sagamihara	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
07.06.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara	4:2 ✺
01.06.25	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TTWLT
- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
21.06.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Azul Claro Numazu	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Nagano Parceiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
13.07.24	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0
10.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	2:1
13.08.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	3:0
02.04.23	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	0:0
27.08.22	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	1:1
12.03.22	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0
09.12.20	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0

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