Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński		Noteć Czarnków

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.4	2.98
	2.01	3.44	3.09
	2.07	3.5	3.08	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3
	2.02	3.52	3.1	Watch
	1.74	3.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.74)	3.45 ↓ (3.65)	3.13 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
45.2%

Draw
26.1%

Noteć Czarnków
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

24.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

21.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński's form might have worsened.

Noteć Czarnków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Noteć Czarnków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Koczy K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).

In recent matches, Stargard has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Noteć Czarnków's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stargard might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stargard won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 3.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stargard won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 3.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Blekitni Stargard	11	5	3	3	27:19	8	18
7	Notec Czarnkow	11	5	1	5	18:15	3	16

Last Results with these Odds

Noteć Czarnków - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 24.92%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.05.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	3:0 ✺
01.05.26	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Wda Świecie - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTLL
- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.05.26	Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Noteć Czarnków - Unia Swarzędz	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Lipno Stęszew - Noteć Czarnków	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Noteć Czarnków	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
02.11.25	Noteć Czarnków - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:1
25.05.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Noteć Czarnków	5:1
02.11.24	Noteć Czarnków - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:4
01.06.24	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Noteć Czarnków	2:4
11.11.23	Noteć Czarnków - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:4

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