Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.75
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.43	3	2.65
	2.43	3.1	2.7
	2.56	3.29	2.82
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.47	3.2	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.4)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	2.73 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
37.2%

Draw
29.2%

Skra Częstochowa
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

26.1%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

20%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skra Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Division 2 (Promotion to Play Offs)).

Stargard Szczeciński is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Skra Częstochowa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stargard Szczeciński could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stargard Szczeciński won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Stargard Szczeciński won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 2
28.11.20	Olimpia Elbląg - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	4:2 ✺
22.11.20	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Znicz Pruszków	2:3 ✺
18.11.20	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lech Poznań 2	1:0 ✺
14.11.20	Olimpia Grudziądz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:2 ✺
08.11.20	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWTL
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
02.12.20	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
27.11.20	Znicz Pruszków - Skra Częstochowa	0:5 ✺
22.11.20	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz	4:0 ✺
14.11.20	Pogoń Siedlce - Skra Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
07.11.20	Skra Częstochowa - Polkowice	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
05.07.20	Skra Częstochowa - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:1
13.10.19	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Skra Częstochowa	3:0
04.05.19	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Skra Częstochowa	3:0
20.10.18	Skra Częstochowa - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:0

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