Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.15	4.05
	1.85	3.65	3.41
	1.88	3.62	3.58	Watch
	1.58	4.15	4.45	Watch
	1.53	4.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.55)	3.95 ↓ (4.28)	3.98 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
54%

Draw
23.1%

Unia Swarzędz
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

21.2%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

19.6%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-1%)

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Klups T. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Fadecki W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stargard won 0.

Recent performances by Stargard have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unia Swarzędz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stargard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stargard is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stargard won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stargard won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Wda Świecie	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Luzino - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lech Poznań 2	3:3 ✺
06.09.25	Września - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTTW
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.25	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
05.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.03.25	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:1
21.08.24	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Unia Swarzędz	0:1
16.03.24	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:0
23.08.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Unia Swarzędz	1:3
17.06.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Unia Swarzędz	0:0
19.11.22	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:1

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