Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Unia Swarzędz		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.6	2.98
	1.98	3.7	3.06
	2.26	3.59	2.72	Watch
	2.04	3.68	2.97	Watch
	2.12	3.8	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.18)	3.67 ↓ (3.73)	2.88 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Swarzędz
43.6%

Draw
24.8%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

24.3%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

23.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Koltanski D. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Walczak M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia Swarzędz won 1.

Unia Swarzędz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Środa Wielkopolska has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unia Swarzędz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Unia Swarzędz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
05.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Unia Swarzędz	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
23.08.25	Wda Świecie - Unia Swarzędz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWLW
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
27.08.25	Luzino - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Elana Toruń	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.03.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	3:0
24.08.24	Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:0
07.04.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	1:0
08.09.23	Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1
14.04.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	3:1
10.09.22	Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:0
10.10.20	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	0:0

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