The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BATE Borisov 24.7%
Draw 26.3%
Dinamo Brest 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.9%
25.5%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
24.6%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Dinamo Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Brest than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
BATE Borisov - Dinamo Brest Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Sokol D. (C) 88. Dubovskiy P. 3. Intsoen C. 5. Sakuta M. 17. Kovalev A. 7. Angban V. 52. Kress E. 10. Rusakov E. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 24. Yatskevich V. 30. Yarmolich A.
35. Malashchitskiy I. (G) 22. Pavlovets A. 55. Lavrik A. 15. Dziov M. 77. Yuzepchuk R. 42. Burak N. 19. Grechikho D. 44. Butarevich A. 36. Guilherme Guedes 88. Kovalevich D. 24. Kortsov E. (C)
Substitutes
8. Apanasevich K. 19. Chernykh I. 11. Grivenev E. 28. Mikhnyuk I. 9. Mirskiy N. 6. Moussakhanian H. 15. Protasenya G. 23. Rashchenya I. 35. Skopets A. (G) 14. Telesh M.
7. Bakic D. 30. Klachkovich M. (G) 5. Kovel M. 8. Lomakin A. 25. Lozhkin V. 2. Rylach A. 18. Stepanov N. 99. Zenkov I.
Coaches
Kontsevoy A.
Sednev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Kovalevich D. ⚽, Guilherme Guedes (A),
33', 0 - 2, Intsoen C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kortsov E. ↓, Bakic D. ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Lavrik A. ⚽, Burak N. (A),
56', Angban V. ↓, Telesh M. ↑,
56', Yatskevich V. ↓, Apanasevich K. ↑,
56', Kress E. ↓, Grivenev E. ↑,
57', Sakuta M. 🟨,
63', Burak N. ↓, Lomakin A. ↑,
63', Lavrik A. ↓, Stepanov N. ↑,
65', Guilherme Guedes 🟨,
70', Kovalevich D. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
75', Guilherme Guedes ↓, Rylach A. ↑,
77', Yarmolich A. ↓, Mirskiy N. ↑,
77', Kovalev A. ↓, Chernykh I. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BATE won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Dinamo Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Dinamo Brest will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, BATE won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, BATE won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2.5:1.8).