Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 9

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday


	BE1 NFA Kaunas		Marijampolė City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.9	3.4	3.5
	1.84	3.31	3.39
	1.92	3.5	3.54
	1.88	3.45	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)	3.41 ↑ (3.38)	3.51 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BE1 NFA Kaunas
47.9%

Draw
26.4%

Marijampolė City
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.3%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

24.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BE1 NFA Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Marijampolė City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

BE1 NFA Kaunas - Marijampolė City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 3).

BE1 NFA is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Marijampolė City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marijampolė City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Marijampolė City have a series of home games.

BE1 NFA will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches BE1 NFA won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams BE1 NFA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Cup
06.05.23	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
30.04.23	Babrungas Plungė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2 ✺
20.04.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - BFA Vilnius	2:1 ✺
14.04.23	Ekranas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW
- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
30.04.23	Marijampolė City - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Marijampolė City - Babrungas Plungė	0:3 ✺
15.04.23	BFA Vilnius - Marijampolė City	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Marijampolė City - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Marijampolė City - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
12.11.22	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Marijampolė City	1:1
06.07.22	Marijampolė City - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:1

BE1 NFA Kaunas - Marijampolė City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide