Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 6

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	BFA Vilnius		Marijampolė City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.75	3.45	2.2
	2.69	3.38	2.12
	2.84	3.5	2.22
	2.75	3.5	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.75)	3.45 ↑ (3.41)	2.18 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
32.7%

Draw
26.1%

Marijampolė City
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26.1%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

25.9%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Marijampolė City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

BFA Vilnius - Marijampolė City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 3).

Recent matches BFA Vilnius is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marijampolė City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

BFA Vilnius could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently BFA Vilnius have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches BFA Vilnius won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
07.04.23	Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius	4:1 ✺
01.04.23	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	BFA Vilnius - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWTW
- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
08.04.23	Marijampolė City - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Marijampolė City - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:3 ✺
26.03.23	Marijampolė City - Panevėžys 2	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Garliava - Marijampolė City	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	FA Šiauliai B - Marijampolė City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
09.07.22	Marijampolė City - BFA Vilnius	2:0

BFA Vilnius - Marijampolė City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide