Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 7

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Marijampolė City		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.4	3
	2.05	3.45	3
	2.05	3.47	2.98
	2.06	3.5	3.14	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.18)	3.46 ↑ (3.33)	3.03 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marijampolė City
44.2%

Draw
26.1%

Babrungas Plungė
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marijampolė City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Babrungas Plungė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Marijampolė City - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: )).

Marijampolė City is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Babrungas in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marijampolė City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Marijampolė City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
15.04.23	BFA Vilnius - Marijampolė City	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Marijampolė City - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Marijampolė City - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:3 ✺
26.03.23	Marijampolė City - Panevėžys 2	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Garliava - Marijampolė City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
14.04.23	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius	4:1 ✺
01.04.23	Ekranas - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
23.03.23	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0 ✺
17.03.23	Panevėžys 2 - Babrungas Plungė	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
03.09.22	Babrungas Plungė - Marijampolė City	4:1
30.04.22	Marijampolė City - Babrungas Plungė	3:1

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