Match Info

LITHUANIA: A Lyga - Relegation - Final

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Referee: Simenas D. (Ltu)


	BE1 NFA Kaunas		Sūduva Marijampolė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7	4.33	1.36
				Watch
	7.6	4.25	1.27
	8.73	4.32	1.39	Watch
	7	4	1.4
	8.3	4.3	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.73 ↑ (5.06)	4.24 ↑ (3.7)	1.35 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BE1 NFA Kaunas
11.7%

Draw
21.3%

Sūduva Marijampolė
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

25.2%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

25.5%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BE1 NFA Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BE1 NFA Kaunas's form might have worsened.

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sūduva Marijampolė's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BE1 NFA Kaunas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sūduva Marijampolė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

BE1 NFA Kaunas - Sūduva Marijampolė Predictions

Users Predictions: Sūduva Marijampolė will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Valeckas D. (G) 66. Jurjonas E. 15. Slendzoka D. (C) 17. Dedura M. 20. Issah M. 16. Sanokho S. M. 6. Dziugas M. 21. Martinez E. 10. Zevzikovas D. 45. Mickevicius E. 9. El Harchi I.	12. Zenkevicius G. (G) 2. Burdzilauskas T. 96. Zotko I. 15. Zivanovic A. (C) 5. Baltrunas Z. 13. Pyrogov M. 14. Fedorov A. 88. Stankevicius D. 19. Filipavicius R. 24. Burba M. 9. Solodovnicov N.
Substitutes
4. Ceckauskas D. 14. Diop A. B. 18. Doke J. 23. Gudaitis T. 32. Gutauskas T. 11. Odincovas L. 31. Turcinskas J. 1. Ukelis M. (G) 79. Zizys M.	28. Burdzilauskas E. 92. Dubickas A. 10. Emsis A. 97. Gumbelevicius T. 17. Kovbasa A. 18. Kramens K. 8. Lawson S. 22. Maksimovic I. 94. Oduenyi U. 99. Stebrys V. (G) 23. Stojanov I. 21. Zingertas L.
Coaches
Hernandez L.	Lastauskas D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Issah M. ⚽,
20', El Harchi I. 🟨,
38', Mickevicius E. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zevzikovas D. ↓, Odincovas L. ↑,
50', Slendzoka D. 🟨,
61', Stankevicius D. ↓, Burdzilauskas E. ↑,
61', Pyrogov M. ↓, Lawson S. ↑,
61', Fedorov A. ↓, Maksimovic I. ↑,
64', Zivanovic A. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Burba M. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, Doke J. ⚽,
81', Dedura M. ↓, Ceckauskas D. ↑,
83', Burdzilauskas T. ↓, Oduenyi U. ↑,
83', Baltrunas Z. ↓, Zingertas L. ↑,
90+1', Sanokho S. M. ↓, Gutauskas T. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
08.11.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Riteriai	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Tauras Tauragė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
30.10.24	Babrungas Plungė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2 ✺
18.10.24	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTTL
- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
09.11.24	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:4 ✺
02.11.24	Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	FA Šiauliai - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Transinvest	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLT

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