Match Info

I Lyga - Round 10

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Babrungas Plungė		Žalgiris Vilnius 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	4.05	4.75	Watch
	1.56	3.96	4.84
	1.60	3.94	4.67	Watch
	1.5	3.7	5
	1.48	4.1	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.39)	3.95 ↓ (4.48)	4.95 ↓ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
58.9%

Draw
22.9%

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

20.3%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

19.4%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Babrungas Plungė's form might have worsened.

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Babrungas Plungė, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Babrungas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
83', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 3.

Babrungas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Žalgiris 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Babrungas is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Babrungas will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Babrungas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	26	20	4	2	45:11	34	64
4	Zalgiris 2	26	14	4	8	40:33	7	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
09.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Babrungas Plungė - Garliava	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWWW
- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
08.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Transinvest 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
25.07.25	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:1
16.03.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	2:2
12.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	2:1
23.03.23	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0
12.10.22	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:0
08.04.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:0
11.09.21	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	3:3

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